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China Predicted Its Rise 75 Years Ago - Eric X. Li | Endgame #253
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Get your copy of Gita Wirjawan’s book, “What It Takes: Southeast Asia”, NOW: https://sgpp.me/what-it-takes-yt And leave your review here: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/241922036-what-it-takes ------------------------ Talks about the “Party Life: Chinese Governance and the World Beyond Liberalism” (2023) book with the author, Eric X. Li. This episode discusses China’s rapid rise in the last three decades, which he divides into three stages (Revolution, Infusion, and Reconciliation), and ...
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The United States today has become a liberal credo state. The the American

empire was built at the expense of the American nation. You when things are not

working out for you, don't just blame other people. Look at the kind of

reforms that you could do. If you're building your countries based

on transplanted constitutions, you have no chance of success. I see many

countries among the developing countries in Southeast Asia too are stuck with

political institutions [music] and social institutions and legal

framework that are not the outgrowth of their natural cultural and moral

conditions. I think that's where the fundamental problem is.

If the US were to seriously reestablish strategic stability with Russia,

intuitively Europe would just have to look at China more favorably. Do you see

that as a collective or [music] more individual type of posturing?

Hi friends, it's a pleasure to tell you that my book, What It Takes Southeast

Asia, has been released in English and Bahasa, Indonesia. You can buy it

through books.game.id or at any of these stores. Now, back to

the show. Hi, friends. Today we're honored to be graced by Eric Lee who's a

venture capitalist from China. He's also the chairman of Changi Capital. Eric,

thank you so much. >> Thank you.

>> I, you know, you went to school in the US to pursue your bachelor's and

masters. Then you decided to go back to Shanghai to Fudan, right?

tell us why you chose to go to the US and why you chose to pursue your PhD in

a field that was completely different from your earlier you know scholastic

journey. Um well look I didn't choose to go to the US because there was no

choice. Everybody wanted to go to the US at that time. Um that was the goal of

every young man and woman not only in China but everywhere in the world.

Wouldn't you say so? >> Yep. [laughter] guilty as church because

uh at that time uh we thought everybody thought that the

entire world would just become a giant America.

So if you could have the real thing, why stay where you are if you're not in

America? So everybody the head had a way of making it to

America did that. Uh that's an exaggeration of course I know I'm just

trying to make a point but so I did that >> and then you you you decided to study

political science. >> I studied economics PhD. Well yes PhD.

Yes. So and then I went back to China. Um I've always been interested in

political science. Um but I didn't know how to make money with it. [laughter]

So so I did economics and MBA. Um but then later later in life I I wanted to

to uh um study and read things that that I that really interested me.

>> You you found capital allocation to be the something that's close to your

heart. >> Well, not really. I got into venture

capital uh by accident. >> Yeah.

>> Um I when I was young, I always wanted to be

an entrepreneur, an industrialist. Okay. Uh and then after university um I got a

job uh in a company uh and I discovered I couldn't manage people.

So I I almost gave it up. I said how could you be a businessman if you can't

manage people? Um but I had gotten into business school uh already. So I went

and then I discovered this business called venture capital where you can

feel like you're an entrepreneur but you don't have to manage people. [laughter]

>> So it really suited me. Uh so that's the only job I've ever had for the last my

entire [clears throat] career. >> But you you you still have to manage

people though a few running. Yeah. >> Yeah. Yeah. But do you find that you

find it problematic to get into the portfolio companies that you've been

managing? >> Um, we I want Okay. So, if we're

managing a portfolio company, that means we're in trouble.

>> I see. Good. >> Um, we we wanted to back companies with

um great entrepreneurs, great leaders, right?

>> Uh so that's our role. So you just put the gasoline in the tank and let the

driver take the truck to where it needs to go

>> so to speak. Uh but of course we we try to be helpful. We

>> we add strategic values to the companies uh especially on finance and capital

markets. Uh these days a lot of uh networking uh in science and technology.

Um yeah. Oh >> yeah. The you wrote a book which I

thought was >> really profound.

>> Thank you. >> Uh and and I it resonates to somebody

like me from the global south. Uh the way you've described a number of things.

One of which is the contrast between universalism

and pluralism. Talk about that. Well, um,

we had a period when I was growing up and and we're same generation.

[laughter] Um, where

as you know, uh, after the Cold War, >> right?

>> Um, everybody thought that there was only one way to go uh, in

every aspect of course. Um, so which which was the amazing thing. Uh it's

it's all encompassing and universal. Uh one set of moralities,

one kind of political system, one set of

economic rules, um all of it. Uh and and every country,

every people, every culture, every economy, every region, no matter what

your backgrounds, what your original roots are, you need to adapt to that

universal vision.

Um and we all thought that humanity was moving towards that um inevitably.

Um uh but it turned out the last few decades that this kind of approach had

done much more harm than good to vast number of countries and peoples

including the people in the countries where this idea originated from the US

and and the west. Uh that's why you see these revolts in western countries. Um,

so, so I think we're at a juncture where that universal bubble has bursted.

>> Yeah. >> And

I for one think the future world will be more

interesting because pluralism is fundamentally more interesting than than

a singular way, a singular vision. Um, so I think we're moving towards a more

pluralistic world where people have different values, different religions,

different communities, different economic systems, political

systems. Um, and and hopefully they can coexist. I'm sure there will be

conflicts. Um, but but it's a much more interesting world [snorts] and it's more

conducive uh for especially for countries of the global south to

develop. Um you know post cold war uh what what's interesting is that uh the

vast majority of countries in the global south vast majority um gave up whatever

politics they had before and whatever economic systems they had

before they adopted the western universal outlook and western universal

institutions. Many countries copy their constitutions

from western countries. I mean word for word. [laughter]

They never had these things ever for a thousand years. But oh no, let's

jettison everything we had. Let's install parliament.

Okay. And then let's have these elections. [snorts]

Um and and and let's just do them every four years because the Americans are

doing every four years. Yeah, we're doing it every 5 years.

>> Yeah, you know what I mean. Um, so so vast majority of developing countries

did that. Um, and they all thought when they once they adopted these rules,

once they took these medicines, they will become rich just like western

countries very soon. Um, but they did not. Most of them uh did not succeed. Um

uh many of them were still mired in civil conflicts. Um poverty

um very unsatisfactory. Uh the the one country uh fortunately I'm from that

country, China, uh said no to that. >> Yeah.

>> Okay. >> Amazingly.

>> Yeah. They they said, you know, we're going to adopt some of the stuff but not

the other stuff. We're going to pick and choose. um uh based on our own

circumstances and our own cultural heritage and our own political system

and our own values. Um so we did that and and I I believe I

fortunately belong to the generation that witnessed the great success uh of

that path. Um so I would based on that experience

recommend this to other global south countries and say look the medicine you

took after 1990 didn't work for you. You look as sick as ever

if not sicker and by the by the way the doctor that

prescribed the medicine to you has now fallen ill. Look at them. So try

something different. >> Yeah. Why why do you think it looked a

lot more appealing during the Cold War and it just came crashing down

[clears throat] ever since the end of the Cold War,

right? I mean, one one could argue that the West kind of embarked on this ill

approach to spread liberal values ever since 1991 or early 90s. Why did it look

a lot more appealing before then? Okay, cuz during the cold war, in fact,

the west in order to struggle against the Soviet Union, it was a it was a hard

struggle. Okay? Naked struggle. I mean, just watch James Bond, right? [laughter]

I mean I mean this is no kiss. It was serious serious business.

>> They did not try to spread these things in their own camp. If you look at the

the the western camp uh against the Soviet Union, there were all sorts of

political systems. Yeah. >> There were, you know, so-called

dictatorships, there were religious regimes, there were right, there were

left. It's just across the board. It's it's a

it's a diverse set of countries with a diverse set of regimes and values and

politics. Um but once they sort of won the cold war

they went on a different path. Um but be before the end of the cold war uh

actually the western camp just the western camp itself was pretty diverse.

>> Yeah. The you you've alluded to this as the myocracy

right in terms of the kind of paralysis that resulted

>> the maid movement. Yeah. >> Yeah. the the color revolution and the

Arab Spring, you name it, right? Uh do you see an end to that by way of the

self-paralyzing element that we're seeing in the West

now? >> Well, it's already ended. Um I think um

of the countries that undertook so-called color revolutions or or

regions that undertook color revolutions uh you know you could hardly find one

single example >> that they ended up better off than

before. Uh so this was the most this was the most destructive fraud [laughter]

that was imposed on peoples around the world in the last several decades. It's

it's amazing. Um if I think when historians look back uh they'll see this

period for what it was. Um so it's unfortunate.

>> Yeah. One of your main appeals is that you can say

things that a lot of people in the global south probably would not want to

say, right? And that I think is on the back of the strength of China. And and I

want to put this in the context of the comparison between China and Southeast

Asia. Just in the last 30 something years, China's GDP per capita has gone

up by a factor of 10 times. Southeast Asia is on average 2.7 times.

It's on the back of four or five identifiable attributes in my view.

First is the underinvestment in education.

Second, underinvestment in infrastructure.

Third, [snorts] governance or lack thereof. Fourth is

lack of competitiveness. You issue 10 business licenses on a per

10,000 adult people basis. We in Southeast Asia only one.

>> Yeah. >> And then the fifth is I [laughter] think

a bit paradoxical because you democratize or decentralize economic

activities much better than most democracies around the world.

What's what's the root cause for this? Again, I think every

country, every culture is an organic being is an organic entity.

uh when you transplant something to your country especially

something as fundamental as your political system uh it kills the

patient. [laughter] Okay. So, so I think a large number of

countries in the global south in in Southeast East

Asia too, uh they got they now have it's kind of like, you know, these

countries in the former British Empire, right? [snorts] They have these

artificial borders. They're drawn by some British bureaucrats when they were

rushing out. And these things they're get they get stuck with them and they

never get settled because it's artificially imposed on

them. It's no organic. It's not real. Um so I I see many countries

among the developing countries uh in Southeast Asia too are stuck with

political institutions and social institutions and legal

framework that are not the outgrowth of their natural cultural and moral

conditions. >> Yeah. Um I I think that's where the

fundamental problem is. Um we all know where we want to end up. We want vibrant

economies. We want people live living harmony. We want to achieve advanced

countries living standards. We want to educate our people. But how do we do

that? We need to build roads. >> Yeah.

>> We need all these things. We need we need to build schools.

>> Yeah. We need to raise the number of STEM graduates in our countries.

But to do these things, there's only one route to doing these things. It's called

politics, right? It's how we organize our

societies, how we fundamentally organize our collective activities.

It's called politics. And if your politics is fundamentally

flawed, it's built on transplanted foundations,

these things cannot be carried out effectively.

I mean, not to say that the original thing is going to succeed,

>> right? >> It has problems too.

So, if you stick to your original form without reforms, that's not good either.

Uh but at least you have a chance. >> Yeah. But if you're building your

countries based on transplanted constitutions Yeah.

>> you have no chance of success. >> Yeah. You you referred to the three

stages >> Yeah.

>> of China's Communist Party. The first was

the revolution took place 1949. Then the infusion

then what we're seeing right now is the consolidation. Right.

Are you surprised that the infusion took as little time as it did for China? And

and when I talk about infusion, it it it resonates to me in the context of how

institutional building took place by way of the mandate [snorts]

directive from the party into the various dimensions of the society. Talk

about that. Yeah. Well, look, the revolution was the key.

>> Yeah. Okay. which is what China went through uh at at a heavy price. Of

course, every revolution in history has been um uh uh partially um uh

destructive. Okay. Um you know, a couple years ago, I I I have a media company in

China and I interviewed I I do this um leadership series interviews just by

myself. Um I interviewed President Lula of Brazil.

Um and I asked a very simple question like you asked me today. I said look

President Lula um at the end of the cold war we all had great hopes of all the

developing countries that there's now a playbook to success. All right. There's

now a a winner strategy. You know like these books you know how to get rich

books. We we got a really good one. [laughter]

It's called the US Constitution. Um so so so so we all had great hope that if

we adopted liberal politics,

capitalist economics uh and and and just follow the examples

of America and western countries, we will very soon become prosperous and

rich. But how come so many countries that did

that, Brazil included, in fact, if you look at all the BRICS

countries and China was the only one that really succeeded and the rest were

kind of just, you know, got a little stuck one way or another. How come?

And I was really surprised. President Lula answered me so fast and so

emphatically uh in Portuguese, but I could I could

see he was speaking emphatically and fast. And then I read the transcript.

Well, I got simultaneous translation. He said, "I'll tell you exactly why.

Because you had a revolution." Wow.

We didn't. You had a revolution and the revolution gave you the political

institutions and the DNA that allowed you to chart your own

course. We're stuck with the DNA and the

institutions that were imposed on us and we're still stuck with them.

you know the special interests that the all the so-called checks and balances

the checks and balances are are there to protect special interests okay you know

every when when I was growing up I I go to America I study politics and and and

you know they they talk about check and balance as if it's the panacea I mean

it's it's just BS okay there the check and balances are

there to check their own peoples So,

so there there you go. Uh, so we had a revolution and and and again revolutions

are dangerous. Revolutions are risky, >> right?

>> Uh, it could turn bad, >> but we were lucky. We had a revolution.

We survived the revolution. So would you argue that on the basis that you had

your revolution completed in 1949

despite the fact that you went through difficulties during the great leap

cultural revolution and the fact that you chose to

geopolitically collaborate with Nixon that was actually

a reflection of the infusion that already started happening. Is that the

right right way of thinking? >> Yeah. Well, I mean, I think the

revolution uh succeeded in establishing the people's republic in 1949,

>> right? >> But of course, it had momentum. It

continued on for another decade or two >> uh through the cultural revolution

actually. So, it was a was kind of a revolution and then and then pseudo

revolutionary phase after that. Um these we talk about you but history is so long

so big. >> Yeah.

>> Um a decade, two decades, half a century. If you really look back these

things >> Yeah. It's nothing

>> pass fast. Yeah. Okay. Um but so if you could focus on the big scheme of things

um I think um the most important thing is that we the Chinese were lucky enough

although having paid a heavy price but they were lucky enough to have survived

and succeeded in a revolution that gave them a set of institutions.

>> Yep. that

ended up working for them and also allowed enough space for reform.

And we're now going we're now beginning have begun a process of

rejuvenating past traditions that within the Chinese

culture that were compromised and sacrificed through two

periods. Okay. We we we had we had two period. We had one period which was our

the the communist revolution. Okay. And and and that period we we for we had

foregone a lot of our own traditions in order to

>> just to survive. Um we were almost getting expert

exterminated by the way. Uh so we we had to uh do something drastic

and then after the revolution we had the reform period which we absorbed

these western practices like market economics. Okay.

>> Um that also in many ways are contrary to Chinese traditional values. Okay. But

we survived that too. >> Yeah.

Now we're in the process of reinccorporating

our traditional ethos back into the game.

>> Yeah. >> Um and we're I think it's just at the

beginning of that phase. Um there's a there's a uh in our own in in Chinese

political lexicon it's called the two fusions. Uh the first fusion has been

around for a long time which is you know essentially fusing socialism with with

with uh Chinese uh circumstances right with

the second fusion I think was brought forward just a few years ago is fusing

socialism and Chinese traditional values uh and we're just at the beginning of

that process. >> Wow. Now,

early '9s would have been really tough, right, for you to decide on sticking

with the gun, right? I mean, on the back of

to to what extent was the failure of Perisroka and Glasnos

>> in the Soviet Union? >> Yeah. a factor for you not to go

the Russian way in the early '9s? Or was it a lot more of the pre-existing

institutional building on the [snorts] back of this infusion that's taken place

for decades since 1949? >> Well, uh, [clears throat]

the Soviet case is an interesting one. I talked about in the first chapter or two

of of my book, >> right?

>> Uh, it turned out there was a lot of luck involved.

So it's not a chance. Okay. History is like that. History [laughter]

>> serendipity plays a part. >> Exactly. There's destiny and there's

fate. Okay. [snorts] Destiny is necessity. You know, inevitability. Fate

is random. >> Okay. So in in the fall of the Soviet

Union, the collap of Soviet Union, there was a there there were many elements of

fate, many elements of chance involved. You know, if if if somebody was not away

on holiday, they had that vote and that vote, you know, maybe a certain leader

would not emerge to become the leader and and someone else would make totally

different decisions. Um and certainly I think the Soviet collapse was I think

most historians would agree that that particular collapse was in many

ways self-inflicted. Okay. um not to say they won't collapse

in the future but you know for that particular event um so so there's quite

a bit of fate in there but there were also

um deliberate decisions which is like I said they were enamored

by the material successes of the west at the time and concluded

that what led to those successes

were those political institutions and those those liberal values.

Um it turned out so I mean that's a fun that's that's like a classic mistake of

mistaking you know correlation for causality

>> and and and the Soviets they they started as you aptly pointed out

becoming a credto state. Well, that too because the,

>> you know, the Soviet Union was an incredible experiment. By the way,

>> um >> I always talk about everybody, you know,

kind of uh uh you know, talk about the Soviet

Union as as a great failure. Uh it eventually collapsed of course, but

let's not forget it was the greatest success story, one

of the amazing success story too of the 20th century. I mean if you read

>> right >> Totoy and read Dossi you know what

Russia was like >> absolutely

>> in the 19th century even as late as 19th century the uh the surf um the

backwardness all of that and the Soviet Union in one generation

turned into a modern superpower. >> Wow.

I modern in every way from science.

>> Yeah. >> To everyday life.

Uh in one generation. It was >> they were first put something on in the

orbit. >> It was a miracle almost.

>> Um you know the west industrialized and modernized over a 300 year period.

>> Yeah. >> 400 year period.

>> Wow. uh Soviet Union achieved superpower status.

Uh if you if you go to Soviet Union, you know, the first part of the the the 20th

century, you see Soviet people living totally modern lives

from what we read about Russia in the 19th

century. It was a miracle in many ways. But there there's one characteristic

about the Soviet Union was that it was a credo state.

Okay, [snorts] it was not you know the modern modernity

one big important unit in modern world is called

nation state and states based on nations.

Um and nations have a set of cultural and moral

>> right >> heritage and traditions and norms and

customs. Uh and the Soviet Union was a transnational

entity. >> Yeah.

>> And it's based it was based on socialist ideology.

So it's an ideiational ideological state. I call it a credo state.

So it doesn't matter what your cultural heritage are

cultural heritage is doesn't matter what your nationality is you got if you

subscribe to the set of ideologies then you're Soviets which was an

experiment and didn't succeed. Okay. And and I would argue that the United States

>> Yeah. >> in recent decades

>> had become a credo state. It had gone from a nation state with

fairly distinct cultural lineage

and religious and moral heritage into a liberal

credo state. And the ideology is liberalism.

>> Yeah. >> It's about essentially extreme

individualism. >> Yeah.

>> Uh so it doesn't matter what your values are, what your

traditions are, what your cultural norms are,

you subscribe to this abstract set of ideology, ideological

uh uh values, then you are America.

And I think that's a risky approach >> and and the US was not like that 100 or

200 years before. >> Of course not.

>> Yeah. >> Of course not. Um

>> the fact that it wasn't it was actually what propelled the major industrial

revolution. >> Yeah. that the industrial revolution in

the west at least uh not in China but in the west

>> right >> uh were part and parcel with a with

their cultural and and and and religious >> right

>> and moral traditions. Um

so it worked for them. Um so so I think the United States today

has become a liberal credo state. Yeah.

>> Um which are now um leading to the internal revolts

within the US and and and by the way EU is the same thing.

>> Yeah. >> European Union is essentially a credo

entity, a credo state, an ideological state.

Um, if >> what do you think could have gone wrong

with the West? [snorts] As for them to become much more of a

credo state, Europe and the US, what could have gone

wrong? >> What do you think would have made it go

wrong? Um I I think

um western modernity was a package.

>> Yeah. >> Okay. It had many elements to it. If you

you know any freshman textbook on western civ

and those books are banned by the way now [laughter]

when I was going to school in America I read them and [snorts] then and then it

became politically incorrect I think so you don't do western civ anymore I think

I think in America most universities had ditched the core curriculum except very

few like Colombia or something but Um so so you don't read these things anymore

in American universities. I read them >> um because I went there before this

happened. Um so any freshman year western civ textbook will tell you that

the the western the mainstream western civilization that led to

industrialization were of course the classics the Greeks

and the Romans. Christianity

extraordinarily important. Okay. Um um and at the time they call barbarians

which is basically Germanic tribes. Okay. So so so religious tradition was a

major part >> right

>> of western modernity. I mean the United States was built on

Puritans that moved from Europe to to US. So it's

was it was about religion or about values and and Christianity of course is

about community of course in that package there was

individualism okay the the worth of the individual was always part of the

western modernity but it was not the only thing

traditional and religious values and community were always major components

of western modernity. Yeah, >> western both traditional societies and

modern societies >> the communal element is thick.

>> But then >> this one strand because of liberalism

this one strand of the western modern package overtook the rest of it.

It's a viralent strand that somehow just metastasized

like a cancer and it's now

all-encompassing in western societies. It's all about the

individual. It's so much about the individual. It's

it's gone totally woke big time.

woke is the end result of extreme individualism.

Yeah. Identity politics also I mean some people say you know identity politics is

against the individual because they group them together. No

identity politics is about the the the goal of identity politics is to

maximally empower the individual. Yeah. >> In order to maximally empower the

individual, you you have to uh um somehow recognize the group. It so so

the group politics in whether it's ethnic groups or whatever uh uh in

western societies, it's not about the group, it's about the individual in that

group. Um whether it's a group based on race or

based on sexual orientation. >> Yeah. or based on gender.

Um, it's it's all about the the the the maximal amplification

of the individual. You you made reference to

something to the following in the book. The atomized individual

with divinely endowed rights corrots a community

>> and the creation of the Frankensteines, >> right,

>> of capital. That's right. >> Especially if they're concentrated in

certain oligarchs, right, at the expense of the majority. That's

>> right. >> Now, would could you or could we argue

that [snorts] economic inequalities

structurally I think drove woke liberalism?

>> Well, they they go hand in hand. They drive each other,

>> right? um the loss of community

and the maximal expansion and application of the individual

>> lead to basically rules of the jungle. >> Yeah.

>> So those who win win big and they keep winning. I mean it's fundament basic

economics right? If you get bigger and bigger you become monopoly. the monopoly

gets extremely competitive because the of the size. Uh so so those individuals

become oligarchs. The rest of the people because they had lost their community

don't have the power to respond. >> Yeah.

>> Cuz they have no community. They're all alienated individuals.

They're they're they're outcasts out there. They're disorganized.

Um, so that I think that's where that's the conditions of the west today.

>> Well, you you finally mentioned that you know, Wall Street and Silicon Valley,

they don't employ any more than 2 million people, but they seem to

control, >> including their nannies

>> and waitresses. >> Yeah, [laughter] exactly.

>> And they control pretty much. And and and this is what often times gets

described as as a plutoaucracy, right? >> We don't see that in China.

>> No. I mean policy makers are way above capital. You know

capital is subservient to political authority in China of course. Um because

China is fundamentally a collective society. Um so but I think things are

changing in America. >> Yeah.

>> In many parts of Europe where people are saying no to that. Um, I think part of

the MAGA movement >> is driven by that.

>> Yeah. >> Um, where it's headed, we don't know

yet. We'll have to see. We're still at early stage.

>> The rhetoric seems to resonate to the earlier, you know, Puritanism,

you know, >> or or at least

at least a desire to recapture a sense of community,

>> correct? to rejuvenate collective values that have roots

and customs and norms that have roots instead of totally uprooted individuals.

>> Yeah. So we've talked about revolution, we've

talked about infusion which has resulted in tremendous institutional building in

China. Right? The next phase is really consolidation, right? Which which really

is underpinned by three pillars, right? The anti-corruption drive,

friendliness towards the environment and reduction of inequalities and and it

just intuitively seems to me as a great foundation [clears throat]

for China to help globalize particularly to the global south. Talk about that.

>> Um, China is a developing country of course. Um and also um China's future

development depends on continued interconnectedness

with the rest of the world. Okay. So, so there basically two things are happening

two trends in the world that are happening today. Okay. I call it

deglobalization and reglobalization.

Okay. So decolonalization was essent is mostly driven by the US-led western camp

um for their own reasons. I'm not judging them here. Um I think you know

the west the US and the west made many strategic mistakes during globalization.

uh that uh all of the fruits of globalization, all of the rewards went

to very few people and [snorts] their interests are not within

are not in line with their own people anymore with not with their nations.

That's how they de-industrialized, you know. Um so so now they're going through

political changes trying to correct that. [snorts] And unfortunately,

one way to correct that as they see it is to del deglobalize

Um so that's happening. Okay. But the other trend is I think the the the

biggest um growing the lot the most significant

um country that's growing is China of course

>> and China's continued growth like I said depends on interconnectedness because

you know we're the biggest trading nation in the world and biggest trading

nation in the history of mankind and no one traded No country traded more

than China is trading today. Okay. [laughter]

[snorts] And um and and and

>> I think there's only one country in the world that doesn't have China as its

largest trading partner >> or something like that.

>> It's Bhutan. [laughter] >> But you've covered the other 193. Okay.

So, so needless to say, we we in order to continue to prosper, we need to keep

that going. Uh but the west is is retreating for

their own reasons. Nothing is wrong for them. Okay.

>> Um so they're doing their thing and we're at a different stage. We we're we

have different conditions, right? I always joke. I say, "Look, look, you

know, America could [snorts] do just fine without the rest of the world. They

got two big oceans on [clears throat] both sides of their

country. Nobody could ever invade them. It's too hard. Uh and they got so many

natural resources, right? And if they really, you know, get Canada and

Greenland Greenland as they say they want, that's enough natural resources

for 500 years. Okay. And then they got, you know,

Mexico where they could re, you know, work to re-industrial, help

re-industrialize North America maybe. And and then there's Latin America. I

mean, they got so much going. They don't need that. They don't need

interconnectedness as we do. [snorts] We don't we China doesn't have as nearly as

many natural resources. Okay? We have to trade and we're a manufacturing power.

So we have to make things and trade with the rest of the world. Um so so the

second trend is I call reglobalization where China is the main proponent one of

the main drivers and where are they going to drive this? Of course only with

the global south mainly with the global south because like I said the west is

retreating. So, so we China must find ways to

reglobalize to continue interconnectedness with the entire

global south in mutually beneficial ways and that's the only way to go otherwise

why would people trade with um so the the US government under Donald Trump

came out with a new national security document some weeks ago.

it it makes specific mentions of certain things. One of which is reestablishing

strategic stability with Russia and the other obviously

is making reference to the Monroe Doctrine,

right? And this this ties into what you've just said, Canada

all the way down to the very end of South America, right?

What are the implications to Europe, China, and the global south?

>> I mean, I I [gasps and sighs] I'm not I don't want to I'm I'm not in the place

to make judgment on the moral doctrine and and where where the US wants to do.

Um I could see why. Um because simple accounting as I just

expressed >> 500 years of

>> natural resource everything you know >> uh I would hope that they wouldn't do it

in such a crude way like the Monroe doctrine.

>> Um but it's really their strategic imperative. Okay. And I

think we could understand where that's coming from. Um I I I I

don't think it's smart for them to do it aggressively like what they're doing in

Latin America. Okay. But it's really it's up to them. It's it's their their

their thing. Okay. Um the implication of it I think is that

uh [snorts] it doesn't pay for them

to keep maintaining this global empire that they built post cold

war. It's not a good deal right to them. Uh

it's not a good deal to America. It's not a good deal to the American people.

You know, I've always said that the the American empire was built at the expense

of the American nation. Okay. The way they built this global

system is that, you know, the people at the very top.

>> Yeah. >> Okay. Wall Street, Silicon Valley, and

Hollywood. >> Yeah.

>> The Holy Trinity made

almost all the money. Okay. and and the rest lost their social

safety net. >> Yeah.

>> Lost their community, lost their good paying manufacturing jobs

>> while piling up $ 38 trillion worth of debt.

>> Lost their local church. >> Yeah.

>> Lost their religion. Lost their morality.

Wow. >> To woke.

Okay. So, so that's uh I mean

I can understand why the American people or at least a a large segments large

segments of the American population are saying no no no we we we don't want to

maintain this global empire for the benefits of these few people.

We want our communities back. We want our industry back. We want our values

back. Um, so I see that and and I think we should understand that and the

implication of it. I I believe I I think that that that this this national

security document um is not a random thing. It didn't just come out of blue.

I think the undercurrents the forces that

>> has been visible for some time >> for many many years for at least a

decade. >> Yeah.

>> Um and I think it will continue regardless with what h what what

political leaders they produce. Um so so I think what the rest of the world means

to the rest of the world is that I I think this this America le global sort

of system global empire is going to retreat much faster than people think.

Um and and of course that carries significant implications.

Um, and you know to the global south. >> If if the US were to seriously

reestablish strategic stability with Russia, intuitively

Europe [snorts] would just have to look at China more

favorably. Do you see that as a collective or more individual type of

posturing? >> I don't know. I mean I think you know we

trade China trades with many European countries

uh in a big way. >> I mean our our economic relationship

with Germany was >> enormous.

>> Yep. >> Okay. We got German companies all the

big companies in China. All I mean >> Audi's Volkswagen

you know making electric cars in China. Um and so so we we have deeply

intertwined economic and other relations with

European countries. Um and of course we now have the

uh difficult situation. Yep. in Europe and with the military

conflicts um that

had complex reasons and complex rules roots

um and if the if the US is less inclined

now than before to to be,

let's say, an active actor in those conflicts,

uh, for for their own good, >> right,

>> for America's own interests. Um, then I think everybody needs to recalculate.

Um and certainly I think European countries have much to gain by

increasing and improving interconnectedness with China.

Uh uh it's unfortunate I read you know

some in Europe are so afraid of for economic reasons that that they

they're not giving up. They're not ditching their climate goals because

they're afraid of Chinese EVs. It's unbelievable.

>> Oh my god. I mean that was like last time I read the FT that was their

religion you know energy transformation energy

transition to address climate change was Brussels religion that was that's that

was as politically correct as it gets. >> Yeah. Actually, an argument could be

made for the decline of Germany's competitiveness

or manufacturing competitiveness would have been by way of

some element of you know embracing climate change narrative as a religion.

What I would say to many European countries and Europe and and the US

included is when things are not working out for you, don't just blame other

people. >> Yeah.

>> Look at the kind of reforms that you could do.

>> Yeah. >> Okay. You know, at the end of the

cultural revolution, we had a lot of troubles.

You know, we didn't say, "Oh, it was the US's fault that our planned economy

didn't work out." >> Yeah.

>> You know, only if they could do plan economy, too, and get on a level playing

field, we do better than them. Yeah. >> So, we need to resist them. No, we said,

"Okay, parts of our parts of our political uh economic system are not

working, so we need to reform and actually learn from what working

elsewhere. and and we did import many aspects of

market economics from the west and we competed on that.

So, [laughter]

right I I want to drill down on this

institutional building. Right. you you've you've mentioned to me in the

past about

the 15-year plan, >> right, [clears throat]

>> that was announced in the early 50s, right? And for a little bit, it was

displaced by the great leap. Then it reverted back, right?

>> And then I want to tie this to what you had alluded to in the book called

Shidafu, >> right? I mean, it's it's really

technocratization, >> right? It's more meritocracy.

technocratization >> with ideals.

>> Yeah, talk about that. >> Um, well, the tradition has been with us

for 2,000 years, really since Confucious.

>> Yeah. >> It's about

common people. So, we we we did away with aristocracy

many many centuries ago, millenniums ago. Okay.

um gradually of course but but fundamentally we [snorts] um we did away

with uh uh landed aristocracy. Uh when when Chinuangi

unified China, we began to to ditch that and

>> right established a uh uh what what some political scientists

called modern state at that time. Of course, but it wasn't wasn't modern yet.

uh but that possessed many elements of a modern state. Um and and then then of

course one core element of that state is a creed

is a group of pe is is the belief that commoners through learning

you could go from nobody to

sky's is the limit except for the emperor.

Um but you the learning had the purpose. It's not technocratic just technocratic

learning learning had a purpose of serving

>> right >> the civilization

serving the state serving the collective and to to serve the values

that undergard the collective and of course at the time was confusion values.

Okay. Um so that ethos I think continues to this day.

Um and and continues through the revolution too. The revolutionaries were

saddafos because they cared about the country

the and they all they they were mostly all common people.

>> Yeah. >> I mean in Europe you know up until maybe

Napoleon a couple hundred 300 years ago only aristocrats could go to war. It was

a privilege to go to war, [snorts] right? Peasants are not good enough to

go to war. The the 15-year plans.

>> Yeah. >> I mean, you know, Mao had already this

vision that, you know, within 75 years, China could overtake the US, right? I

mean, >> he he said that at [laughter] the at the

announcement of the of the first five-year plan, it was crazy. It was um

he we're now starting the 15th correct five-year plan and he wrote

something to the effect that hey you know we're starting our first 5-year

plan. Let's work hard and and look our goal is not to mess around and just just

put food on the table. Our goal is to catch up and surpass at the time the

most advanced country in the world the United States. He says how many years is

it going to take? 5 10 20 you're probably too soon that's too optimistic

he said I don't know he said maybe maybe 75 years how about that that's just 15

five year plans he actually wrote that at that time it

was 1950 he was pretty preient

[laughter] you know I mean you're you're up there now you know when it comes to a

bunch of stuff >> for sure

>> we're now >> AI pretty soon We're embarking on the

15th 5-year plan and I'll tell you what's happening in China. Okay. Uh

amazing stuff. Okay. We are so so

we began to engage in globalization 30 some years ago, right? And it of course

began to uh it it it we joined the WTO in in 2000. Um and the way we engaged

globalization at the time was through manufacturing.

uh because that's our strength at the time and we went from single digit share

of the global industrial capacity to today our industrial capacity is the

biggest in the world bigger than the US Germany Japan India and the next five

six countries put together okay enormous 35% of the industrial output I think

going up maybe to 40% more >> yeah okay [snorts]

um and so So we kind of cleaned up industrial capacity our manufacturing

and very successful. Okay. Um but at that time 2000 plus minus uh we weren't

in the room in terms of science and technology

>> right >> okay and the US was indist indisputably

the leader so we just followed Silicon Valley. Okay. Whatever they did, we we

we followed and we seeded enormous territories like semiconductor.

Okay. Um [snorts] and and they were leading the way. Okay.

But we didn't just

lay flat like the you the the current popular Chinese term is you know

tamping. We didn't lay flat. They they worked very hard on education

on science and technology infrastructure all that. So it accumulated over decades

and we are now at the cusp of major science and technology

breakouts and breakthroughs across multiple sectors. And I predict we're

going to have 5 10 15 deepseks in different sectors in the next generation

10 years. nonlinear >> nonlinear nonlinear okay I I'll just

give you an example okay I I I would say that this process began in 2020

okay and the first sector that it affected was renewable energy

>> okay and in 2020 to 2025 today in those five years not just solar and wind and

all of that the Chinese were very successful globally also in automobiles

and and and let me kind of explain how how big that is. Okay, the auto industry

is a pillar industry of the world. Okay, a pillar industry. Okay, and post World

War II, it took three countries >> 75 years to dominate that pillar

industry. Okay, Germany, Japan, and the US. And in five years, we uprooted the

entire thing. >> Yeah.

>> And it's never going back. >> Hands down.

>> Okay. Five years compared with 75 years in a pillar industry in the world. Okay.

That's auto. Okay. So from 20 right now 2025 to 2030 in the next three year uh

five years I would say it's going to happen same thing is going to happen in

three industries. Okay.

biotech which is already happening AI and robotics

or advanced manufacturing let's say not just robotics alone okay in biotech and

I began to invest in biotech 7 8 years ago never in my wildest dream did I

anticipate [laughter] the current in situation I

mean China is quickly becoming a biotech superpower okay 70 years ago our share

of the global novel medicine patents was maybe low teens

11 12% 14%. Today is 44%. We'll go up to 50% very soon. Okay. Of

all the clinical trials that are taking place globally our share is 35% maybe

and and going up. That's bigger than the US Europe put together. Okay. The entire

world is here in China shopping for novel medicines.

I always said that, you know, in the year 2000, if you want to get a picture

of globalization, you go to Guangjo to the Canton Fair, right? Everybody in the

world is in Canton Fair. If you own a little gift shop in Seattle or you own a

uh whatever um factory in in Barcelona, you're there buying whatever you need

for your home markets. Today there's a canton fair happening in China on

biotech. Okay. All these companies are

entertaining potential customers from America, Europe, Russia, and you name

it. [snorts] Buying novel medicines IPS from China. Okay. And that's happening

already. So in next 5 years I think it will continue. Okay. Second AI. AI of

course everybody's saying US and China commit. Of course there's competition

but China takes a totally different approach and it it's very relevant to

the global south. Let me explain. >> Um so we take an open source approach.

Okay. US takes the closed source approach. It also has to do with

political system and political DNA. Okay. Will take hours to explain this

but let me just I'm with you. >> So the US US approach is essentially

invest innovate and see grants.

>> Correct. Okay, like all these companies, all these big techs, we've been paying

them rents for the last 20 years. You know that. Okay. Um the Chinese approach

is different. It's invest, innovate, and compete and scale up and make things

affordable that everybody gets it. Okay. Like like

what we did with manufacturing. Okay. How come, you know, how come

everybody in America, I mean, you think all these Americans and Europeans could

afford to buy these Christmas toys 30 years ago without China? No,

>> dude. You go to Amazon, you go to Walmart, 99% of the goods are made in

China. >> Make it affordable. Of course, that has

an issue. There is an issue. I understand where, you know, I think

President Trump said, you know, maybe too many dollars is not a good thing.

Maybe two is enough. Maybe he's right. I'm not judging that, okay? I'm just

saying we make things massive scale and affordable and same thing's happening in

AI, okay? I mean, I know there the US is stronger on on computing power because

the chips um but it doesn't it's not that's not where it's at, I think. Okay,

we where I know companies around the world including major American companies

are kind of secretly they're not advertising they're using Chinese AI

[laughter] because they're using Q1 they're using you know Kimmy whatever it

is I mean because look the Chinese AI companies are selling [snorts] a million

tokens for 38 cents US >> disproportionately cheaper

>> okay GPT I think sells them for $5.5 US. I mean, that's so big. The the

difference is so big. Okay, I tell you, you know, without Chinese AI,

global south and AI will never meet. They will have nothing to do with each

other other than the global south paying rents

to American AI companies like they've been paying rents to Apple and Google

and everyone else. all the big tax. Okay. But Chinese AI open source,

they are affordable. If you're an Indonesian company, you

want to use AI 38 cents, maybe going down to 25 cents a million tokens, you

can actually use them as a tool to help your business.

It's actually affordable. You're not paying rents. Okay. So, so I

think um AI very important. [clears throat] uh I especially in the

global south it may even be in America but especially in global south um and

the third is uh advanced manufacturing robotics I mean that's already happened

so that's the next 5 years 19 uh 2025 to 2030 and look beyond 2030 to 2035

>> oh my god >> I see future you know I can name to

quantum and nuclear fusion I see >> well you've already announced a thorium

>> right nuclear >> but still early I see tremendous mendous

amount of capital, human resources, government policies going into these

sectors and I think will bear fruits 5 years from now. [snorts] So we will be

China will be at the forefront of science and technology across the

board two that

>> will be [clears throat] made to be shared with the global south.

>> Think about that. two two fundamental observations that

just keep on staring at me. The first is the US economy is just too bloated.

You know, you you take a DD qua ride in Chenzen, there's no tipping,

>> right? >> And on a per mile cost, it's cheaper.

and the marginal productivity for China. I

mean, you you can get a an Apple Watch equivalent in Shenzhen for $12.

It functions. It looks just as good when you're paying about $450 in Palo Alto

for an Apple Watch. I mean,

you know, for somebody in Africa, somebody in Papua, somebody in any

village in the global south, those are just going to resonate, right? That's

right. >> The way you open source everything.

So, what could stop this? I mean, well, let me let me also share that you

produce 4 to 4.5 million stem products per year. Southeast Asia only 750,000 of

which Indonesia 250,000. the US only 800,000 STEM products per year.

Your your marginal productivity is only going to keep going up and beating the

rest. Unstoppable. Right. [snorts] So your

your I think your struggle is the degree to which you can democratize capital to

the global south. >> Yeah. Would would you agree with that? I

I so so if you go to China the buzz word today is called chuhai.

Chuhai means literally means going overseas. Okay. But but what it means

are or Chinese companies mostly technology companies. I mean

manufacturing companies too but but manufacturing companies with heavy

technology uh content uh going to globalize going overseas. Um, and a lot

of these companies including EV companies, I mean I think BYD

manufacturing in Brazil, in Thailand, in in in Hungary, Indonesia,

>> Indonesia, Chinese drone company, robotics companies um so all these

battery companies um all these companies are

>> CL is opening. >> That's right. That's right. Um so so I

would say that look I say I just throw this out for for I mean I

really haven't thought this through so I could be wrong. Okay. Um I I think the

first phase of globalization which is ending

has three main drivers. Okay. American capital and technology

Chinese production and global market. Yeah, I think the next phase of

globalization will also have three drivers as Chinese capital and

technology, world production and global market.

M >> and and the Chinese have to spread their

production and spread their their industrial and technological footprint

and around the world especially in the global south and the the challenge is

how to make it mutually beneficial. how to bring up the development of the

entire global south uh uh with that and I think um the the political desire is

there. >> Yeah.

>> The geopolitical [snorts] necessities also there

um and the commercial incentives are there too as well.

>> Yes. You know, I tell I tell my Western friends, you know, they keep thinking

that the reason why BYD is building factories in Thailand and Indonesia

would be that >> it's geopolitical.

>> And I tell them it's not geopolitical. It's pure economics,

>> right? >> You know, they got to compete with 98

other EV makers in China, whereas in Southeast Asia, [laughter]

they're the only boy in town. >> They're going to make more money in

Southeast Asia. But but I I think the long game as it relates to the global

south or call it Southeast Asia [snorts] is

technological transfer. >> Yeah.

>> Right. And and if if we take a look at the FDR that comes to Southeast Asia, it

takes place at a rate of about 200 to 230 billion a year.

>> Of which Singapore gets about 100 to 140.

>> Indonesia gets about 30 to 40. Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, Vietnam each gets

about 10 to 20. But the structural limitation in capital allocation relates

to I think rule of law.

>> Yeah. >> And translational wherewithal. So if we

want to see China help with reglobalization,

I think China could take a view on how rule of law could get better in the

destination countries and how the translational wherewithalss,

>> the translational wherewithal is really correlated with the number of people

they get educated in STEM, >> right? Whether you bring in Chinese

professors to Southeast Asia or we send a bunch of Southeast Asians to the

Chinua of the world, >> right? And my idea is that I think

Chinese I think Chinese universities at the first rate. Okay. [snorts] Uh and

there are many of them. [laughter] I got number two. Um and they're

particularly good particularly good at STEM.

>> Yeah. Um so I think our top 50 universities

should I think the government should encourage them go around the world and

set up campuses STEM campuses. >> Yeah. Yeah, you don't have to, you know,

include philosophy or but STEM campuses uh in different subjects

>> are partnering with the best educational institutions locally uh to train

people to train young people in the global south and have them come to China

uh uh and and go back and forth uh and that I then we build a network

>> Yeah. >> uh of people uh and talents. Um I I mean

I I think that many of them are doing it. Yeah. I see some of the best

universities working on setting up campuses overseas mostly in the global.

>> Not enough. >> Yeah. Not enough.

>> I think it needs I agree. >> Needs to scale and and and the beauty

about the educational system in China is that you can be pretty indiscriminate

about it because you you don't gain the system there. you can send your kid to

Chungtu, Chongqing, Dalian, Shanghai, Beijing, you get pretty much the same

quality education. Whereas in other countries, you got to be rich to be able

to get your son or daughter to get a better education, right? Because you can

game the system. that that I think is is going to bode well for the look my

thesis for Southeast Asia is to look to China increasingly more for

technological capital allocation and to the west for economic capital because

they've been printing a lot of money >> right

>> right but that money is not coming to Southeast Asia because of their

perception of perhaps lack of rule of law lack of translational wherewithal

that that I think could be the recipe for reglobalization as you aptly pointed

out and and we have who uh like China and the global south and

other countries and China's a main part of global south China and other

countries of the global south need to work together to establish

rules and standards that are conducive to our

common development. Okay. That work for us.

>> Yeah. you know, not the so-called rule of law that doesn't work for us, that's

imposed on us. Okay. Um, so, so that's why a lot of the, you know, a lot of the

so-called rule of laws or other political institutions, you know,

they used to they used to say that for many decades, they used to say that, you

know, if you just [snorts] if you just did this in Indonesia, you you'll get

rid of corruption. and they did all the corruption got worse there many many

studies okay um so so that that's I think you know China uh at that level

has something to contribute as well because China had the experience of

building institutions that work for them not perfect case study there are many

flaws many problems I mean China has a corruption problem too um but they're

cracking down they've been cracking down um But China does have the experience of

have building institutions that more or less work for them and continue to

reform reform them. >> I want to go back to

climate change. >> Yeah.

>> If if you charge your Tesla in PaloAlto, it'll charge you about 48 to 55 cents

per kilowatt hour. But >> you charge your Xiaomi or BYD and shenan

it's only four to 5 cents per load per capita. [laughter]

So I mean I I I can only deduce that it's because of the massive supply chain

capabilities. Right? So I I don't think that's easily replicated onto the global

south. But I think what works is the political economy argument.

>> Right? I think capital allocation from China will take place in the global

south if China understands a little bit better about the political economy

argument right I would argue that if China does enough to educate the glo the

global south whether it's STEM or others particularly STEM [snorts] if the EV in

a global south gets charged at a cost of seven cents

>> not necessarily five because of the lack of supply chain Yeah,

>> they will still pay. >> Of course.

>> You know what I mean? [laughter] >> I I I read I mean for Indonesia, you

know, I read that Indonesia has the on its agenda energy transition.

>> Energy transition. Okay. >> Um

for a country of this size, of so many islands, I mean, okay, it's

an amazing country. I look at the map. I'm like, wow, Indonesia. Okay. I I was

I came to see you. So I looked at the map. Okay. [laughter]

I mean for a country like Indonesia with this kind of population

energy transition I mean come on. You got to have I mean China is the only

Allow me to say this. I'm not saying it in a in a in any

in an arrogant way or anything like that. Okay. I say in the most humble

way. China is your only viable partner. [snorts] China is the only country that

could produce the hardware, the equipment, the infrastructure at

affordable costs, >> right?

And scale them up, okay? And and can execute on a timely

basis. And they they're they're fast. [laughter]

Um so so so we I mean you you need to partner

with the Chinese. >> Yeah.

>> Figure out a way >> particularly for technological capital

>> and and the and the and the Chinese China is is

just by sheer size is is a big presence everywhere. I know sometimes that could

appear uh threatening. >> Yeah.

>> Uh but it's a soft one. >> Yeah.

>> Okay. I mean think about it. I mean, you don't believe these people will tell you

the Chinese are big, that's why they're threat. The Chinese never go around the

world telling them how to run their countries. Never. Never.

>> Yeah. >> Okay. So,

>> just just by that alone, >> we're not discounting Western

technology, >> right?

>> I'm only making the point that Western technology might be more 0ero to one,

but it's just not as affordable as Chinese technology. And and I do believe

China in the near foreseeable future will be able to do more zero to one

>> of course tech we're doing zero.

>> Yeah. >> Um

>> and it's it's a lot more affordable for people in Africa, Southeast Asia and the

de you know the global south. No, I I think you know for medicine you know

biotech I mean in the last decades a western companies dominated

medicine and it's not cheap some countries have just have to ditch IP and

just do generics but we're not doing that okay so so I with the current

trajectory persists I think in five years China Chinese affordable Chinese

novel medicines are going to spread around the world.

>> Yeah. >> To the benefit of hundreds of millions

of people. >> Yeah. Do do you see this as an incentive

for the West to reduce the bloat?

>> The West [clears throat] has its own myriad complex

issues to deal with. >> Yeah. They are deeply rooted issues

and we're not in the position to make judgments

on them. Okay? They must make tough choices

and and like any tough choices, China made tough choices over decades um that

>> you know sacrifice certain interests for others, right? The West is having to do

that, I think. And we have no idea how they but it's it's their decisions to

make. It's their decisions to make. Um, so, you know, we're we're sort of like

living in a much more structured multipolarity now.

>> Yeah. >> And and revisionism is inevitable.

Coming from countries that used to be really tiny, now they've gotten much

larger. >> Yeah. And I think it's high time and and

I I sense that Southeast Asia is one of the very few that can actually toggle

between China and the West because of scale and I think geopolitical and

geostrategic relevance. Would would you

agree with that? >> I think it's possible. Um I I happen to

think that uh if the current trend continues, China

will be able to deal with America directly very well.

Um, you know, I think America's is possibly the United States is on a

trajectory of um acting in its own best collective interests

instead of the interests of the liberal elites at the expense of national

interests to maintain this global uh hgeimon

status. Um so if that's that trend continues

um I I think China and the United States will be able to

of course they will compete uh but I think they will be able to avoid harmful

conflicts and act in their own respective best interests.

>> Eric, I want to ask you two more questions.

the the national security

narrative for Indonesia is underpinned by essentially food

security and energy security, right? You you as a capital allocator, what would

you advocate for for Indonesia? I would add advocate like I said partnering with

China on energy transition >> so you have affordable

scalable and executable infrastructure built for renewables that

you can chart your own course on energy okay China's charting it own course on

energy you can chart your own course energy in the long term okay it's it

take time but yeah >> okay second um agriculture I mean That's

Indonesia is a major agricultural country. It's it's your pillar industry.

>> Um and and agriculture also had a lot to do with social fabric. Um and it's how

you incorporate techn I mean China is also

at the forefront of agricultural technologies. You know for instance

robotic and drones okay you know I have a drone company. We have a drone

company. It's one of the largest agricultural drones in the world and we

[snorts] manage huge farmlands with no human being. Maybe one. Okay. Um

and and >> smoking cigarette looking at the screen

>> and we're active in Thailand, active in Brazil, you know, all these agricultural

countries. Um and robotics on the ground, cotton fields, robots picking

them. Um so but how you incorporate with technologies in a way

that's that helps you improve productivity but

also doesn't hurt your social cohesion and the benefits are shared.

Uh that's what Indonesia needs to really consider. But technologies are there.

China has them affordably again.

Wow. You know, Southeast Asia has about 5 to 6 million hectares of mangroves,

>> right? >> Mangroves, I think, is one of the more

undernarrated decarbonizing narratives.

>> Cuz you know, with with one hectar, you can sequester about a

>> they suck up they suck up >> a ton of carbon, right? So, just imagine

if Southeast Asia could plant up to 10 million hectares.

>> It's amazing. this region could suck up could sequester a quarter of humanity's

carbon emission which is about 40 gigatons. So that's 10 gigatons and and

I I think drones could play the role of planting because the productivity is

orders of magnitude more than just a fisherman planting one by one right you

can just shoot it down and then plant. Yeah, absolutely.

That is what the Chinese and the Chinese leader

called a shared destiny, >> right?

>> Think about that. Mangroves >> of this size suck up

>> amazing >> carbon emission.

China is a major manufacturing power. >> You know, building nuclear reactor takes

years, right? But planting mangro >> with the with the help of drones it's

instantaneous and you can sequester within couple of years or whatever.

>> Last question. [laughter] It's it's it's about an hour and a half

already. What what do you think would slow down China's engine?

>> I mean, you know, about all the great >> two risks.

>> Yeah. >> Um one is we have a demographic

challenge in the horizon. uh it's it's not immediate but it's in

the horizon um and I hope we address that um um you know in sometime in the

distant in the future that we have a lot of retirees and fewer young people

working that's always a problem okay it's not the total population problem is

the structure of the population um we need to we're we are addressing it uh in

in through technological ical means. Of course, all the robots got to make them

work, right? Um, but we may also need to address that through

policies, >> right?

>> And and social policies and education and values. Um, so so that's something I

think we need to address. It's a risk. Second risk of course is that in this

emerging multipolar world there are a lot of uncertainties, a lot of

geopolitical tensions. Uh is that we somehow

get dragged into some kind of unwanted military conflict. Uh I think the

Chinese don't want that. Um but there are many other forces in play.

>> Yeah. >> Um so we need to really act be extra

careful about that. >> Anything [clears throat] we might have

missed? >> No. I think [laughter]

this is >> that was that was pretty exhaustive.

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Great. >> Thank you so much, man.

>> Thank you so much. We'll have we need a beer.

>> Yes. [laughter] >> All right.

>> Thanks, >> friends. That was Eric Lee, chairman of

Changi Capital from China. [music] Thank you.

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